Tag Archives: Gaza

Osama Bin Laden’s Assassination and Middle East Peace

 

 

Will Osama Bin Laden’s (OBL) much celebrated death at the hands of American military special forces move the world closer to peace in the Middle East?

The answer is no.

While it is particularly gratifying to see OBL meet his just reward on this planet and to know that an American face was the last face he saw before leaving this earth, it was a temporary distraction and sideshow from the center stage of Arab political upheaval.

In particular, continue to keep your eyes on Egypt… 

Besides being the largest of the Arab Moslem countries, Egypt has maintained the longest peace with Israel of any Arab state. Since the recent overthrow of Egyptian President, Hosni Mubarak and his government, we are seeing a gradual but clear tilt towards a radical Moslem takeover. The forces for democracy in Egypt, that were so prominent during the revolution, are much less organized than the radical Moslem  constituencies. Specifically, the Muslim Brotherhood is now the most powerful and organized political party in Egypt and will be a force to be reckoned with in the soon coming elections in Egypt.

My Prediction…

The radical Moslem cleric run political parties, the largest of which is the Muslim Brotherhood, will first takeover the democratic process that is desperately trying to maintain and nurture a foothold in the current  Egyptian political landscape. After rising to power, those radical elements will undermine the democracy (as Hitler did in Germany) and declare Egypt to be a theocracy (like Iran) and operate under “sharia law” i.e. the law of the Koran.

More Bad News for Israel

 In addition to the radicalizing of the political process in Egypt, I have noted from various  news sources over the last several weeks, other clear  indicators that the Egyptian populace and political process  is increasingly anti-Israel.

Here are some of them:

  • Many voices in Egypt are calling for Egypt to end selling natural gas to Israel. This call has manifested in two bomb attacks on the pipeline between Israel and Egypt which succeeded in temporarily halting the flow of gas to Israel.
  • Egypt recently opened the border between itself and Gaza infuriating Israel. This opening permits weaponry to be much more easily  moved into the hostile hands of the Hamas terrorist government.

    Hamas

    These weapons will be used against Israel and Israel knows this.

  • Many Egyptian citizens and politicos are calling for an end to the peace treaty between Israel and Egypt. Those voices are gaining a larger and larger following amongst the general population.
  • And lastly, Egypt has been central in helping Hamas and the Palestinian Authority to negotiate a political truce thus unifying the Palestinian Arabs against Israel. This despite the fact that Israel has stated very clearly that it will not accept this “unity” government and will not negotiate any peace with a government that includes the radical Hamas party unless it accepts the right of Israel to exist. Hamas has no interest in recognizing Israel.
So Where is This Leading?
 
Egypt is a boiling pot that is threatening to explode. Israel sees the anti-Israel direction the Egyptian revolution is taking and is feeling increasingly threatened and vulnerable on its southern border. It is just a matter of time until war breaks out as Israel feels it must move pre-emptively to protect itself from a crippling and potentially lethal first strike from its enemies.
 
All of this is prophesied in the book of Isaiah and elsewhere. We could be watching the precipitating events that cause and lead up to the Final Arab Israeli War.
 
More on this later.
 
For the restoration of Israel,
 
Joel Chernoff
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It’s Official: Obama’s New Middle East Plan is a Poison Pill For Israel

President Obama and PM Netanyahu Meet

President Obama and PM Netanyahu Meet

The much anticipated meeting in Washington D.C. between President Obama and Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu has come and gone.

So what do we know now?

Their meeting seemed cordial and both tried to be publicly conciliatory towards each other but it was clear that a consensus was not reached. PM Netanyahu was nice but made it clear that, though Israel will work towards peace with their Arab neighbors, he was not ready to embrace the two-state solution.

President Obama made it clear that he wants Israel to embrace the two-state solution and strongly pressured Israel to discontinue all settlement expansion in Judea and Samaria (West Bank).

The Plot Gets Thicker: New Middle East Plan Revealed

On May 21 the popular London-based Al-Quds Al Arabi newspaper ran an extensive analysis of Obama’s new peace initiative. According to this report the main points of Obama’s peace initiative are as follows:

  • It is based on the Saudi/Arab League plan from March 2002.
  • It envisions a demilitarized Palestinian state.
  • It mandates a Palestinian state with territorial contiguity between Gaza and the West Bank that would split Israel into two parts.
  • Jerusalem would be split into Arab controlled east Jerusalem and Jewish controlled west Jerusalem.
  • Jerusalem would also serve as the capital of the new Palestinian state.
  • Israel would forfeit sovereignty over the Old City of Jerusalem and the Old City of Jerusalem would be internationalized, that is belonging to no one.

Obama Initiates Another First (unfortunately)

King Abdullah II of JordanIn addition, it was noted that President Obama and King Abdullah of Jordan conceived this plan while Obama was recently visiting Jordan.

This is the first time a US President has created a peace plan without first coordinating with Israel.

This is not a good sign for Israel…and for the US in general!

So what does Netanyahu really think?

 May 22, the day after the Al Quds Al Arabi article is published in London, PM Netanyahu addresses the nation of Israel on Jerusalem Day which is the celebration of the unification of the city of Jerusalem under Jewish control after the Six Day War in 1967. 

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu

He states in his speech,

United Jerusalem is Israel’s capital. Jerusalem was always ours and will always be ours. It will never again be partitioned or divided.

It sounds to me as if there is little to no give in Israel’s position concerning Jerusalem and is the polar opposite to President Obama’s desire for Jerusalem in his new peace initiative.

What About Obama’s Call for halting Settlement Expansion?

While Netanyahu has tipped his hat at this request and dismantled one or two outposts, the Israeli PM insists that authorized settlements should be allowed to continue natural growth i.e. natural population expansion.

What Does This All Mean?

It means that there is little common ground between Obama’s new agenda for peace and Israel’s new government. There are so many non-starters for Israel that I believe there is absolutely no chance Netanyahu and his conservative government would or even could agree to it without a total collapse of the coalition Netanyahu leads.

In other words Obama’s initiative is, for all intents and purposes, dead on arrival.

What Will Obama’s Response Be?

Obama has put himself in a very fragile position politically. If Obama, after all of his public posturing,  does not try to force Israel to comply he risks looking weak and impotent before the Arab/Moslem world and for that matter the world in general. He is investing a lot of the political capital he gained with his election in trying to resolve the Middle east conflict…his way. I don’t believe he will crawl away with his tail between his legs.

President Barack Obama

President Barack Obama

This is where we must pray for the President and this country.

Unfortunately, it appears…and I say appears…that he is moving in the direction of being willing to sacrifice, if necessary, the US’s long standing relationship with Israel to accomplish what he believes will bring peace to the Middle East.

Look for the US to put unprecedented pressure on Israel to bend to its will.

I hope I am wrong. Keep praying for Israel and the US.

The God of Israel is in control.

Joel Chernoff

~The views contained in The Joel Chernoff Report are not necessarily views held by the MJAA~

Becoming Clearer – Obama on Collision Course with Israel

George Mitchell

George Mitchell

George Mitchell, President Obama’s specially appointed Middle East envoy, yesterday confirmed what I have previously alluded to… i.e. that the Obama administration is going to go well beyond President Bush in trying to set up a Palestinian state…regardless of what it may cost Israel in security.

It is slowly becoming evident that this US administration is on a collision course with the new Israeli government.

Listen to the chilling words of Obama’s representative George Mitchell

“[the] two-state solution is the only solution [to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.] This conflict has gone on for far too long, and the people of this region should no longer have to wait for the just peace that guarantees security for all.”

As reported by the Jerusalem Post, PM Netanyahu’s office expressed concern that if a Palestinian state is set up, Hamas could take over the West Bank, as it overran Gaza in 2007. The experience of Israel withdrawing from territory, only to have it controlled by Palestinian extremists “is not going to be repeated”.

After the Gaza fiasco…I am amazed that Mitchell or President Obama can promote the two-state solution with a straight face.

Although President Bush was the first ever President to openly advocate a two-state solution, he set up several caveats that were critical to Israel’s preservation and consequently made the deal impossible given the current

Hamas

Hamas

mind set of the Arab nations around Israel.

Caveats like: All terror attacks must cease, the Arab nations must recognize Israel’s right to exist etc. These were and are today conditions that our Arab cousins will not give to Israel…so they ended up being deal killers.

The truth

they simply don’t want peace. They want complete and utter victory. They want the total destruction of the Jewish state.

Mitchell, so far has excluded mentioning any of these critical conditions for peace with Israel. Without them the two-state solution is a non-starter for Israel.

You know what? I believe that if the Arab states would grant these caveats Israel would probably give them almost all of what they ask for.

However, everyone in Israel knows the ugly truth — it takes two to make peace and Israel has no peace partner.

Doomed to Failure

As I have previously asserted, any two state solution will find its way to the “scrap heap” of good or bad ideas because it moves against God’s prophetic agenda to re-gather Israel from the four corners of the globe, and restore her spiritually in preparation for the Messiah’s return.

 

Lastly and Prophetically…

God's Promised Borders

God's Promised Borders

If God’s word is true, the boundaries of Israel will have to expand to hold the millions more of our Jewish people that are destined and called to return to their God given homeland.

 “He that has ears to hear…”

Joel Chernoff

 

 

~The views contained in The Joel Chernoff Report are not necessarily views held by the MJAA~

Interesting and Prophetic Administration Changes

I recently saw an interesting article ranking the last 12 US presidents as friends of Israel. President Bush (and his administration) was ranked 3rd. The point of the article was asking where the Obama administration was going to rank on this list.

President Obama

President Obama

This question really cannot yet be answered with any certainty; however, in my opinion he has set a negative trajectory with his appointment of George Mitchell and in light of Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s recent proclamations concerning Jerusalem and the establishment of a Palestinian state. Her words indicate Obama’s trajectory. I’ll talk more about this in later blogs.

What is interesting is that we see counterbalancing shifts in leadership in both the US and Israel.

The trajectory in this country is from conservative to far left liberal and quite possibly from strong to weaker support of Israel. Many believe as do I that Obama will put strong pressure on Israel to give up more land and concessions in his desire to make his mark as a great peacemaker much as other Presidents have attempted in their own ways.

Benjamin Netanyahu

Benjamin Netanyahu

Within months of this change in the US administration, we see in Israel the stunning rise of previous Prime Minister and conservative “right” candidate, Benjamin Netanyahu and the Likud Party at the expense of the left leaning and previous administration of Olmert/Livni and the Kadima party. Kadima has been leading the charge on the two state solution and has been prepared to give away not just Gaza but also most of Judea and Samaria for peace. In addition, Olmert has even put the division of Jerusalem on the table. Netanyahu is not willing

Gaza Terrorist

Gaza Terrorist

to do this especially since he maintains (and rightly so) that the Arabs do not want peace and that Israel has no real peace partner. Therefore, any land giveaway is not in Israel’s security interests as illustrated when Israel gave back Gaza. The Arabs rapidly turned Gaza into a terrorist state run by terrorists.

Are Netanyahu’s Hands Being Tied?

Presumed Prime Minister Netanyahu is trying to create a unity government with Kadima for purposes of presenting Israel with a softer

Tzipi Livni

Tzipi Livni

political face to the international public. Livni and Kadima want no part of it unless Netanyahu shares power with Kadima and/or will guarantee Kadima that he will support the two state solution. Whatever Livni is negotiating for behind closed doors Netanyahu is not buying so an alliance is not likely.

This has left Netanyahu with the politically less desirable task of forming a government of far right religious and secular parties that are not favorable to dividing Israel into two states as well. They are also even more opposed to dividing Jerusalem in any way shape or form. The point is that any move by Netanyahu to “waffle” on the issue of Jerusalem or to consider dividing Israel will be met by the far right parties with the threat of leaving the government and therefore bringing down Netanyahu. This would provoke new elections and Netanyahu would be out. No politician wants to be “out of power” and so he will do everything possible to avoid this.

Once his government is formed, Prime Minister Netanyahu’s hands will essentially be tied on the two state solution and dividing Jerusalem.

Prophetically, the way I see it – God has raised up a leader and government in Israel that can and indeed must withstand US and international pressure over dividing Jerusalem and Israel proper  in order to survive.

Orchestrating the Powerful

netanyahu-and-obama1While President Obama seems to be on a collision course with Israel over Jerusalem and the two state solution, Netanyahu is rising to meet the challenge — whether he likes it or not!

Only God can orchestrate world events at such a high level. He simply will not allow the further division of His Holy Land despite Israel’s often willingness to do so.

In the end only God’s purpose and plan will prevail concerning Israel.

Joel Chernoff

-The views contained in The Joel Chernoff Report are not necessarily views held by the MJAA-